Golf picks and predictions for the FedEx St. Jude Classic in Memphis

MEMPHIS – Good luck trying to piece together all the historical data for this one.

Beginning in 1958 as the Memphis Open, the PGA Tour’s Memphis-based event moved to host venue TPC Southwind in 1989. It then underwent a litany of name changes over the years, culminating in being called the FedEx St. Jude Classic for its last eight editions until 2018.

Although it remained in the same location, this tournament ceased to exist the following year, instead becoming the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational and inheriting all of the history of the former WGC-Bridgestone Invitational, that’s how Tiger Woods is the all-time leader. earning money from this event by over $7 million without ever competing in Memphis.

This week it becomes the FedEx St. Jude Championship, the first event of this season’s FedEx Cup qualifiers, which was once The Northern Trust and before that was The Barclays, which in turn meant the main winner of the history of this tournament. Now is Dustin Johnson, who has already been resigned from the PGA Tour and (despite two victories in Memphis) will likely never play in what is called the FedEx St. Jude Championship.

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Make sense ?

Here’s another puzzle: Of Memphis’ top 10 last year (which posted a total of 11 players), five are no longer likely to play here.

Well, at least they won’t be until maybe Tuesday afternoon, when a court rules on “Mickelson et al. against the PGA Tour,” which could make Talor Gooch, Hudson Swafford and Matt Jones qualified for the playoffs after being suspended indefinitely for joining LIV Golf.

Bet on golf?

Just imagine reading one of these words a year ago and trying to figure out what they meant or how they were even possible.

Fast forward to this week’s tournaments, where many big names are awarded for the first time since the last major championship of the year, as the world of golf prepares for another dramatic week – inside and out. exterior of the strings.

All odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook.

Collin Morikawa
Collin Morikawa
Getty Images

Winner of the FedEx St. Jude Classic

Colin Morikawa (33/1)

First things first: during a summer of lost baggage, it’s good to know that a player you’re betting on with all the right tools of the trade is coming to their destination – and that’s the case with Morikawa this week, even if it’s ‘was’ t without a little apprehension.

Here’s hoping he’s exhausted those clubs on his recent three-week break, following a pair of missed cuts at the Scottish Open and The Open Championship.

Even though he was the defending champion at the latter, I don’t give too much importance to form during these overseas departures. In his last appearance on American soil, Morikawa finished fifth at the US Open.

What I like is that his odds have drifted, which has historically been a signal that we suggest starting play and that he’s one of the few top 10 players to really show up this year.

In a game so often cyclical, we’ve seen a slight increase in players such as Scottie Scheffler, Cameron Smith, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele and Justin Thomas, to name a few. As is often said in NBA games, every team goes on the run at some point. Maybe it’s time for Morikawa to race, a bit like Patrick Cantlay last year.

Despite these recent struggles, Morikawa’s iron game has remained elite. We know he has the ability to win whenever his placement is just above average, which only means a small improvement from his last two starts in Memphis. I love that Morikawa starts this proverbial race on a course where iron play is the most important metric.

Top 20

Max Homa (+190)

I originally tabbed Tommy Fleetwood for a top 20, but with him tweeting that he’s spending time with his family instead of playing in the playoffs, I’ll go with Homa, who holds a similar percentage of top 20s cashed this year. In 16 starts, he has nine. At this rate, I like it against the implied probability of these odds. Expect his consistency to continue.

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